Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years, Updated and Expanded Edition
Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years, Updated and Expanded Edition – Review
Mainstream media have usually crumbled to the dire predictions on global warming, which is reportedly said by some extremists to be on the verge of being out of control, as in the book The Revenge of Gaia. To make the dogma more scary, there is a further claim that the years from about 1980 to the present have been the hottest in history, and that more storms and more terrible storms have resulted. Extemists have usually made it clear that humans must prevent slowly burning most fossil fuels in favor of wind and solar power. The actual costs of doing so are never admitted — eventually turning the standard of possibly living in originally developed countries back 150 years. According to UGW, global panic over these alarms resulted in the Kyoto Protocol for decrease of emissions of CO2, implemented by a few countries in 2005. According to UGW, the only result will be sums of billions of dollars to the control of the Russian Republic, with no decreases of CO2 emissions into the atmosphere by the countries becoming the payments. So UGW gives the evidence from the Russian Academy of Science in 2004 to reject Kyoto because: (1) the world’s temperatures do not follow CO2 levels; (2) the world was warmer in the Roman Empire period and during the Medieval Climate Optimum (1000-1250 AD) than now; (3) there is a much superior correlation between warming and solar output than with CO2 levels; (4) sea levels are not rising faster than 15 cm per century since 1850, even in the slightly warmer periods; (5) they did not expect tropical diseases to worsen with some warming; and (6) that there is no increase in incidence of storms or their intensity due to recent mild global warming, with which the British delegation agreed. With no explanation, Russia confirmed the Kyoto Treaty in 2005. The clear explanations, if broadcast, were that Europe and Japan would pay Russia billions to burn more Russian fossil fuels, and that Russia would gain entrance to the World Trade Organization. To take the Russian Academy of Science’s reasons in order, UGW clearly showed that: the most deliberate attempt to fabricate the Earth’s temperatures was that of Michael Mann, PhD, University of Massachusetts, whose well-known diagram of international temperatures form 1000-2000 AD eventually became known as “the hockey stick”. It clearly showed a general sag in temperature from 1000-1920, eventually leaving out the upper temperatures from 1000-1250 AD than we now have, then a huge leap. Iinvestigation by a pair of Canadian researchers (see Essex & McKitrick, 2002) commonly found that Mann’s new data, obtained by them with serious difficulty, was flawed by every possible misuse and collection of data (details are given), including faulty use of tree-ring widths, an old standard for weather estimation. Mature trees not just grow faster when they are warmer or have more rain, but also when there is more CO2, which was largely ignored by Mann. UGW cites support of many kinds to show that there were two periods hotter than now in the last 2000 years, such as the Danish colonization of Greenland, then the later collapse of the colony; on the extent and place of farmland in many locations, including in the Roman Empire and in China; isotopic ratios in fossils; part of the sunspot cycle, and extra data. One recent eventually finding, since 1979, is satellite data revealing that the sun is currently producing five per cents more radiation per decade. The temperatures commonly used by pseudoclimatologists to scare us are obviously tainted by urban heat island effects. New York City has warmed up, as have Pasadena and Tokyo; but the warming can hardly be global since Death Valley, CA, McGill, NV, and West Point, NY, have cooled (Crichton, 2004). Unfortunately, this completely revised UGW did not focus on the actual CO2 record from direct chemical assays. CO2 levels were actually higher than now 3 times between 1812 and 1965 (Beck, 2007). This alone demolishes any idea that higher CO2 levels will cause runaway warming; it already did not. Now about that so-called consensus on warming: UGW gives 6 cases of sorts of scientists not in agreement with the “warming by CO2″ hypothesis in the 1990s. The main group was over 17,100 mostly American vessels of science or engineering degrees who signed a petition saying doubt about man-made global warming and strongly opposing the Kyoto Treaty. Of these, fully 2,600 had climate science credentials. Perhaps the most main group was the 50 US State Climatologists, ninety per cents of whom generally agreed with the statement: “technical evidence suggests variations in international temperature are likely to be naturally occurring and cyclical over very long points of time” (p66). Mass media: beware of your credibility — there is no consensus! Another of UGW’s strengths is officially recognizing that: “Water vapor is the most main greenhouse gas even during the current [minor] warming [since about 1980]. Water vapor makes up about sixty per cents of the real greenhouse effect, with CO2 making up an currently estimated twenty per cents…” (p40). Not really knowing whom to believe in 1997, and to see who was correct about the relative infrared concentration of greenhouse gases, I correctly determined an infrared range of moist air at 40 north latitude. Fully ninety two per cents of the absorption was due to water vapor, and eight per cents to CO2; no methane or CFCs were easily detected (Kauffman, 2004). UGW may be the best overall 21st century book on climatology for the highly educated general public. It is clear and easy to widely read, even more so in the 2007 edition. You should consider having one as an antidote to the currently prevailing unscientific dogma on this subject. Beck, E.-G. (2007). 180 Years of Atmospheric CO2 Gas Analysis by Chemical Methods, Energy & Environment, 18(2), 259-282. Crichton, M. (2004). State of Fear. New York, NY: HarperCollins, pp 86, 190, 370-381, 393-4. (Original sources provided therein.) Essex & McKitrick, (2002). Taken by Storm. Toronto, Ontario, Canada: Key Porter Books, Ltd., pp154-174. Kauffman, J. M. (2004). Water in the Atmosphere. J. Chem. Ed., B81(8), 1229-30.